Pattern 1 -
Fast moving Low Pressure and Cold Front Overruns East Coast and Western
Atlantic
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Bermuda
High extends from Bermuda ENE towards the Azores.
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Close to
the axis of High Pressure winds will drop to less than 10 kts.
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Closer to
the front, S to SW winds 15-20 kts S of 35N and 20-30 kts N of 35N
as Cold Front pushes up against the High Pressure and compresses the
isobars.
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Max winds
usually occur when wind reaches 210-230 degrees.
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Squall Line
may precede Cold Front by 10 - 50 miles (20 min to 2 hrs.) Max winds
in Squall approximately height of Cumulonimbus clouds in 1,000 ft.
45,000 ft squall lines produce gusts to 45 kts
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Behind the
front cool dry NW'ly winds initially strong but dying as front moves
E'ward.
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- As the Low Pressure moves
to the E the trailing Cold Front lags behind, rotates to become more
E/W and slows. The front often either stalls or dissipate before reaching
Bermuda.
- Cold Front becomes more
of a wide, transition zone and wind speed drop considerably.
- N of the front the winds
will be E and NE.
- S of front the winds will
be stronger and W'ly.
- As the two air masses on
either side of the front mix the boundary breaks down and the winds
becomes light and variable.
- Finally the Bermuda High
regains its control of the area and awaits the next challenge from the
west.
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Pattern 2 - Slow
moving Low Pressure and Cold Front Stalls at the coast and a small Low
Pressure "Wave" moves up the Cold Front.
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- Same picture as above but
the Cold Front is moving very slowly or almost stopped.
- A small, secondary Low (or
Wave) forms on the front and moves N'ward.
- Maximum wind speed will
be between the newly formed Low and the Bermuda High with a direction
of 180-200.
- A second max wind area will
be on the NW corner of the Bermuda High parent Cold Front. Wind direction
here is 210-230.
- Just ahead (NE) of the newly
formed Low the winds will be pulled around to 140-160.
- Behind the newly formed
Low wind speed will increase rapidly.
There are two equally likely
scenarios that may play out.
- Scenario A -- The main Low
Pressure system stalls and the newly formed Low takes control and moves
up the Cold Front to the NE resulting in stronger, maybe Gale Force
winds.
- Scenario B -- The main Low
Pressure regains momentum and pulls the newly formed Low along to the
ENE.
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Map: Scenario
A - 2 New Low Takes Control
- The rapidly intensifying
Low moves up the Cold Front and pushes up against the Bermuda High pushing
it slowly ENE.
- The resulting N/S oriented
Cold Front with strong winds between 180 - 220. However, watch for winds
as far right as 160 to the NE of the Low.
- W of the Low the strongest
winds will be in the NW quadrant and from 300-330. These winds will
drop quickly when the wind backs beyond 290.
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Map: Low - Scenario
A - 3 New Low Takes Control
- The Low will intensify as
it moves N causing the winds to increase and the trailing H Pressure
to be pulled in behind the advancing Cold Front.
- Although this looks like
the Bermuda High has split it is two different air masses. The W'ern
High Pressure is cool and dry while the E'ern is the warm and humid
"real" Bermuda High.
- Strong NW/N'ly winds between
the High and the rapidly moving Cold Front will drop rapidly. (The longer
the Cold Front stays oriented N/S the longer the winds will strong winds
will hold.)
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Map: Low - Scenario
B - 2 Main Low Regains Momentum
- Above 37N the main Low Pressure
regains control and moves E'ward dragging the newly formed Wave with
it.
- The "baby" Low
and is now sandwiched between two Highs.
- If Low passes to the N,
winds will back from 090 through 180 towards 225. If the Cold Front
passes the winds will continue to 320 then die. If you are too far south,
the winds will begin to die at 225
- If Low passes to the S,
winds will veer from 090 to 320-340 and begin to die..
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Map: Low - Scenario
B - 3 Main Low Regains Momentum
- Wind will veer back to the
E as Cold Front and Low Pressure moves to the E and next High Pressure
drops into the W'ern Atlantic.
- Winds will drop as Cold
Front begins to orientate more E/W.
- Wind will shift from E'ly
to W'ly if you sail through the stalled E/W Cold Front.
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Pattern 3 - Back Door (Comes
from NE instead of NW) Cold
Front.
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Map: Back Door
Cold Front - 1
- Bermuda High stronger than
normal (center pressure 1024mb or higher) and centered just N of Bermuda.
- and
a second strong Canadian High is pushing SE'ly out of Quebec and Labrador.
- Strongest winds are at the
front separating the two air masses.
- Exception to the N/S-E/W
front orientation rule. Strongest winds 210-230 and will drop as wind
veers past 230.
- Canadian High spreads out
as it pushes SE causing the Cold Front to push into the W'ern Atlantic
from the NE rather than the NW (hence - Back Door)
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Map: Back Door
Cold Front - 2
- A small Low Pressure "Wave"
forms along the S'ward moving Cold Front reinforcing the warm and humid
SW'ly wind and allowing thunderstorms to develop.
- As cold front passes winds
will veer further than the typical "320 and die" of a "normal"
Cold Front passage.
- Winds will finally drop
quickly when direction reaches NE
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Map: Back Door
Cold Front - 3
- As the Low Pressure "Wave"
moves NE, the trailing High Pressure is forced S and the Cold Front
continues to move SW down the East Coast.
- Winds in front of the Cold
Front will be NW and switching to the ENE and E as the Cold Front passes.
- Winds become light and variable
as the three High Pressure systems coalesce.
- Next wind field will approach
from the W but patience will be tested.
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